Financial News Aggregator and a little more!

  • The roller coaster ride of oil
    Millions of American every year pay a hefty sum of money to be thrilled by some of the world’s fastest rollercoasters. The feeling of being ...
  • Relative Strength Spread
    The chart below is the spread between the relative strength leaders and relative strength laggards (top quartile of stocks in our ranks divided by the ...
  • Knowing When to Stand Still
    There has been an enormous amount of commentary following the November 8th presidential election about exactly what a Trump administration will mean for the financial ...
  • Weekly RS Recap
    The table below shows the performance of a universe of mid and large cap U.S. equities, broken down by relative strength decile and quartile and ...
  • Recap of November so far
    As we recover from the great national holiday of turkey, family and football we see the world of securities start to slow down. According to ...
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  • Ghost in the Shell
      Ghost in the Shell Official Trailer 1 (2017) – Scarlett Johansson Movie   The post Ghost in the Shell appeared first on
  • Do You Need a Financial Adviser? A Guide to Help You Decide
    Do you need a financial adviser? Barry Ritholtz Washington Post, November 22         Do you need a financial adviser? It is a ...
  • MIB: James Gleick, Science Author
    This week, we speak with James Gleick, author of numerous award winning books, including The Information: A History, A Theory, A Flood, and most recently, Time ...
  • 10 Weekend Reads
    The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of French Burundi coffee, grab a seat on the sofa, and get ready for our longer form weekend reads: • How to ...
  • Ben Folds: NPR Music Tiny Desk Concert
    Watching Ben Folds perform his songs on piano at the Tiny Desk, there seems to be a direct line between thought and expression, except perhaps ...
  • Half of FANG
    I’ve seen chatter recently about how it would be a great time to buy stocks like Amazon and Facebook since they are “cheap” again due ...
  • A Little Edgy
  • Ups and Downs
    Feeling bullish? Bearish? It doesn’t matter. I’ve got something for everyone today. I’ve assembled below some interesting charts that help provide fodder for either argument. ...
  • Building Blocks Part III (by The Director)
    The Pareto principle, and the true distribution of the market The Pareto principle is one of the most important empirical properties in nature. Fundamentally, it ...
  • Market Forecast for 2017: SPX at 2400 by End of Year
    On November 26th, I posted an article which outlined a hypothetical scenario of the S&P 500 Index reaching 2700 by the next U.S. Presidential election in November 2020. ...
  • Why investors and management don't see eye to eye
    Why is it that businesspeople and investors see businesses differently?  A friend mentioned a derivation of this analogy to me years ago and I brushed ...
  • When do you give up on a stock?
    In most houses there is a closet, or a cabinet where miscellaneous things are stored.  And by stored I mean they're shoved into this space ...
  • Three Simple heuristics
    A heuristic is defined as a process or a method.  I have a few simple heuristics I've employed throughout life, and especially in investing.  The ...
  • You don't know anything!
    The common wisdom is that to be a better investor one needs a edge.  This edge is usually regarded as an informational advantage obtained through ...
  • My advice for students
    It's an easy time of the year to become reflective, kids are going back to school and life begins the school rhythm.  My oldest starts ...
  • Globalizing the Fight Against Non-Communicable Disease
    Global health organizations and initiatives have traditionally focused on infectious diseases, from malaria (their great failure) to smallpox (their greatest success). But there is an ...
  • Climate Change in the Trumpocene Age
    In the year since the Paris climate agreement was concluded, the world’s efforts to limit global warming seemed to gain momentum. How worried should the ...
  • A Better Global Framework to End AIDS
    Simply funding parts of the global health system is not enough to end AIDS once and for all. The international community must take a more ...
  • Protecting Education in Conflict Zones
    Educational institutions, like health-care facilities, are supposed to be safe havens. But, as the attacks on schools in countries such as Sudan, Syria, Thailand, and ...
  • Training for Gender Equality
    Achieving gender equality in the Middle East will be a long process, requiring fundamental educational, social, and economic reforms. But giving women the right training ...
  • Market Update: Deal With It
    I just sent out these brief market thoughts to my favorite client (Of course I say this to each of my small number of clients. ...
  • Why We Can’t Do Much About Growth
    Over the post-GFC period, I’ve made many references to a new, structurally lower rate of growth in the US and in the other highly developed countries. Prompted ...
  • Updating Avalanche Patrol
    In April of last year, the market didn’t seem to be picking up on fairly heavy Fed hints about its thinking, so I wrote a ...
  • Brazil. What Does Impeachment Mean For Investors?
    It looks very much as though Brazil is about to impeach Dilma. In a country with a system of governance as deeply flawed as Brazil’s, it would ...
  • Hedge Fund Ramblings on Risk
    I often have exchanges with old friends who are institutional HF managers. I’m lucky to have such a sharp, experienced and dialed-in network. Sometimes I clean ...
  • A glass half-empty
    Mid-week market update: About two weeks ago, I wrote a post indicating that market had focused on the positives of a Trump presidency (see The ...
  • Nine years ago today...
    It was nine years ago today, Humble Student of the Markets was born. My first post at the time was entitled What exactly are ...
  • Too early to buy gold and gold stocks
    The stars seem to be aligning for a revival in gold prices. Prices saw a nice bounce today as equities weakened. The trends in other ...
  • The start of a new Trump bull?
    Preface: Explaining our market timing modelsWe maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term ...
  • Trend vs. counter-trend: Who wins?
    Mid-week market update: Traders who rely on technical signals use two main kinds of trading systems. They either rely on trends or counter-trend signals. Trending ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Nov 27, 2016
    The week that was... While it is never always positive, it does "feel" like Thanksgiving week is often quite bullish for stocks. Light volume, generally ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Nov 20, 2016
    The week that was... Considering the sharp rally the prior week, last week was a very positive one for bulls as we had two nice days ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Nov 13, 2016
    The week that was... Well, THAT was an interesting week. We ended last week's "The Week Ahead" section by saying: Please note the market enters the ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Nov 6, 2016
    The week that was... We ended last week's "The Week Ahead" section with the sentence: "There should be some fireworks". Indeed there were. ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Oct 30, 2016
    Opening missive: It's sexy, it's hot. A well coiffed man is on the top of the home page. Two less well coiffed ...
  • watching the flows
    The cash flows moving from manager to manager and strategy to strategy get plenty of attention, but some important aspects of those flows are easily ...
  • in the company of women
    What kinds of people will investment organizations need to succeed in the future? How will they need to work together?
  • the tests ahead
    In an unexpected development, the beliefs and techniques that were ridiculed after the financial crisis are more in vogue today. Some musings about that.
  • changing classifications
    Our investing decisions are made on top of a framework of asset definitions, which grow out of date over time. They should be kept ...
  • high conviction
    Another buzzword has entered the industry lexicon, but while it's thrown around to impress, what's really there?
  • Bonds Down, Stocks Up!
    So bonds are 'crashing' and stocks are going up. Some say that this can't continue; you can't have stocks and bonds go in opposite directions ...
  • Active Play: Pzena Investment Management Inc. (PZN)
    So, continuing with the theme of active investing, I decided to take a look at Pzena Investment Management again. I've been watching it for a ...
  • Perpetual Option: Och-Ziff Capital Management Group (OZM)
    In his book, You Can Be a Stock Market Genius, Greenblatt talks about using LEAPs to make leveraged bets.  The book included his trade in ...
  • Gotham's New Fund
    Joel Greenblatt was in Barron's recently.  He is one of my favorite investors so maybe it's a good time for another post. Anyway, ...
  • More 13F Fun
    So here's another name that we like to follow around here.  Loews Corp is a respected (not by all, I know... there are people who ...
  • Birthday Luck
    I had been fitfully and uncomfortably sleeping, dreaming of a small dog licking my leg and stealing my snack. I awoke to find an escaped ...
  • Underestimating the Density of the Fog
    The story has essentially attained the level of holy writ, at least to those committed to data and evidence, such that it now seems almost ...
  • Market Monitor 3Q 2016
  • A Time of ‘Financial Repression’
    My latest column for Research magazine is now available online. Here’s a snippit. I hope you will read it and the entire issue. “As I ...
  • Just Win, Baby
    Al Davis, the late owner and general manager of the Oakland Raiders, had a famous motto for his team, “Just win, baby.” Nothing else mattered, ...
  • We Are All Populists Now
    The February 6, 2009 cover story of Newsweek was titled “We Are All Socialists Now.” I reread it over ...
  • Is Trumponomics Inflationary?
    Trumponomics is a mix of demand-side and supply-side economics. The former tends to be inflationary, while the latter tends to ...
  • Another Relief Rally
    “Happy Days Are Here Again” is a song copyrighted in 1929 by Milton Ager (music) and Jack Yellen (lyrics). ...
  • US Economy: Full of Beans?
    In the movie “Casablanca,” Humphrey Bogart tells Ingrid Bergman, “Ilsa, I’m no good at being noble, but it doesn’t take ...
  • Yellen Has Many Questions
    Ever since the FOMC’s last rate hike at the end of last year, Fed Chair Janet Yellen has sided with the committee’s doves who ...
  • Everyone is in Sales
    In a recent post I quoted Warren Buffett who said, “The most important skill in finance is salesmanship.” I said that I completely agreed with this statement, ...
  • The Agony of Investing in Small Cap Stocks
    Last week my colleague Michael Batnick pointed out that small cap stocks have seen the equivalent of both a bear and bull market this year ...
  • Something I’m Worried About
    Predicting crashes, recessions, black swans and such has become fetishized by many in the investment world since the Great Financial Crisis. Those who predicted trouble ...
  • The Hidden Variable of Investment Performance
    At our conference last week I moderated a panel on the topic of organizational alpha. This is the idea that adding value to an investment ...
  • Taxes & Timing
    I spend a ton of time reading and most of it ends up falling in the interesting, but not very useful category. And that’s okay ...
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  • Birthday Luck
    I had been fitfully and uncomfortably sleeping, dreaming of a small dog licking my leg and stealing my snack. I awoke to find an escaped ...
  • Underestimating the Density of the Fog
    The story has essentially attained the level of holy writ, at least to those committed to data and evidence, such that it now seems almost ...
  • Market Monitor 3Q 2016
  • A Time of ‘Financial Repression’
    My latest column for Research magazine is now available online. Here’s a snippit. I hope you will read it and the entire issue. “As I ...
  • Just Win, Baby
    Al Davis, the late owner and general manager of the Oakland Raiders, had a famous motto for his team, “Just win, baby.” Nothing else mattered, ...
  • November 30, 2016
    After fifteen up days in a row, the Russell 2000 Index finally took a break on Monday when it dropped 1.29%. Since then the index ...
  • November 27, 2016
    Only three-and-a-half hours of trading time have elapsed since my last report, and not much has changed over that time period. Perhaps the most exciting ...
  • November 23, 2016
    The horseracing term “trifecta” has been getting a lot of mileage in the financial media over the past couple of days. Apparently, clever media mavens ...
  • November 20, 2016
    The NASDAQ Composite looked like it was going to join the Russell 2000 and Dow Jones Industrials Indexes in all-time high price territory on Friday, ...
  • November 16, 2016
    The Trump Rally has continued unabated over the past five trading days since the election, but it was the NASDAQ Composite that carried the baton ...
  • Payroll day observations
    * First things first: for the last payroll day before the Fed meeting, Macro Man's model is relatively upbeat, looking for a figure of 210k.  ...
  • K vs L
    The big story of the last 24 hours is evidently the OPEC agreement (including some non-cartel members) to cut oil production, ostensibly to rebalance what ...
  • A spectre of short covering
    Has the time arrived for the long-awaited post-election correction?  It's starting to look that way.   Yesterday's US data was solid, to say the least, with ...
  • Stocks for the long run
    One of the major developments within the financial industry over the last half-decade or so has been the ascendance of passive investing as a discipline.   ...
  • Rebalancing
    Macro Man is back, belatedly, after a glorious few days of eating, drinking, football, and even a little cycling.  He returns to what can be ...
  • We Are Moving
    Many have emailed regarding the blog inactivity and lack of financial market commentary by Tiho. We will be re-directing the traffic from this website towards a new ...
  • Precious Metals Update
    Our previous advice Regular readers of the blog should remember that back in early July we warned that the probability of safe have assets correcting was very ...
  • Stock Market Breadth Update
    Let us check out US stock market breadth today. Before we start, I would like to state that the charts above are as of last ...
  • Finally, A Comprehensive Market Update!
    Dear readers, I admit, I’ve been missing in action. I took a prolonged summer break and have been traveling Europe for months now. As a ...
  • Rates Rising, US Stocks Leading, August Holidays
    Dear readers, I hope this post finds all of you well. In the first week of July I commented on financial market overextension, in particular for asset ...
  • Slow down to go faster
    (Warning, bike metaphors ahead). Last weekend I went out for an ice long ride on the mountain bike as winter is threatening on the front range. ...
  • Finance Conferences: G.O.A.T.?
    Much has already been written about last week’s Evidence Based Investment Conference in NYC. Put on by the fine gentlemen at Ritholtz Wealth Management and ...
  • Now what?
    It’s 10:11pm MT on election night and it would appear that despite nearly universal predictions to the contrary, Donald Trump is about to be elected ...
  • It’s Working!
    Diversified investors finally have something to be happy about. I can tell, because nobody called this quarter to ask (a.k.a. complain) about performance. (Aside – ...
  • You have got to be kidding me with this Forbes garbage
    For most of the last year I’ve been getting solicitation emails from the “Five-Star Wealth Manager” people, desperately trying to get me to pay them ...
  • Everyone is in Sales
    In a recent post I quoted Warren Buffett who said, “The most important skill in finance is salesmanship.” I said that I completely agreed with this statement, ...
  • The Agony of Investing in Small Cap Stocks
    Last week my colleague Michael Batnick pointed out that small cap stocks have seen the equivalent of both a bear and bull market this year ...
  • Something I’m Worried About
    Predicting crashes, recessions, black swans and such has become fetishized by many in the investment world since the Great Financial Crisis. Those who predicted trouble ...
  • The Hidden Variable of Investment Performance
    At our conference last week I moderated a panel on the topic of organizational alpha. This is the idea that adding value to an investment ...
  • Taxes & Timing
    I spend a ton of time reading and most of it ends up falling in the interesting, but not very useful category. And that’s okay ...
  • Company Notes Digest 12.2.16
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 11.18.16
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 11.11.16
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 11.4.16
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 10.28.16
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Episode 739: Finding The Fake-News King
    We track down a fake-news creator in the suburbs, uncover his empire of fake-news sites, and get him to tell us his secrets.
  • Episode 534: The History Of Light
    In this show: How we got from candles made out of cow fat to as much light as we want. The history of light is ...
  • Episode 738: The Russian Rodeo
    Russia's latest ambition: To build a steak empire. On today's show, a fourth-generation American cowboy teaches Russian ranchers how to make American-style steaks. Some things ...
  • Episode 737: 17 Deals In 17 Minutes
    We go on a madcap dash through discounts, bargains and tough tradeoffs. Like the headline says: We bring you stories of 17 deals in just ...
  • Episode 736: Messy Nobel
    What happens when a creativity guru meets the winner of this year's Nobel Memorial Prize in economics? You get life lessons in making art, and ...
  • Manufacturing and inflation get a lift
    Both inflation and real growth are getting a modest lift these days. Recent economic data continue to support the notion that economic activity has firmed ...
  • Corporate profits are still healthy
    The collapse of oil prices that began over two years took a big bite out of corporate profits, but now that oil prices have been ...
  • Closing the Obama Gap
    Third quarter GDP growth was revised upwards slightly today, from 3.0% to 3.2%. This is encouraging, of course, but it does little to change the ...
  • Trump carrots beat Obama sticks
    To paraphrase Peter Thiel, Trump's supporters take him seriously, but not literally, while Trump detractors take him literally, but not seriously. There's a lot ...
  • Tracking Trump with themes and charts
    The stock market is making new all-time highs, even as the bond market is getting crushed; 10-yr Treasury yields are up almost 100 bps since ...
  • A brief update
    Over the last couple years, I’ve seen more and more people in technology trying to make government work better. They’re idealists who are also making ...
  • Thanks, Amit
    Amit Singhal just announced that he’s retiring toward the end of the month. Amit has been a formative part of Google’s search team, but he’s ...
  • Solving a Verizon issue (Nexus 5X)
    I solved a problem today and figured that I’d document it for the rest of the world. Every time someone left me a voicemail on ...
  • Halloween 2015: USB Drive
    I went a little overboard for Halloween last year. And as you can tell from my the Halloween category on my blog, sometimes I get ...
  • Give Google Contributor a try
    Recently I’ve seen several interesting conversations about ad blocking, and I wanted to remind people about a great offering called Google Contributor. With Google Contributor, ...
  • Going after it
    I’m in SF this week with the USV team – once a year we all come out here together, do a bunch of meetings and ...
  • The new normal
    The week before last, my in-laws were hit by a truck while crossing the street after dinner. The time since has been a disorienting whirlwind ...
  • Getting out the vote
    Yesterday, a fabulous new tool launched — HelloVote: HelloVote makes it easy easy easy to register to vote.  Sign up w your phone number and ...
  • Alternative Compliance
    Summary To better support small businesses operating in regulated sectors, we should develop “alternative compliance” mechanisms — parallel regulatory regimes that achieve the goals of ...
  • Regulating with Data
    At this year’s Personal Democracy Forum, the theme was “the tech we need“. One of the areas I’ve been focused on here is the need ...
  • Edging In, Edging Out
    ============================================================ Most days, I don’t trade.  I study.  I model.  I muse.  I plan. There are some clever traders out there.  I am not one ...
  • When I was a Boy…
    =========================================== If you knew me when I was young, you might not have liked me much.  I was the know-it-all who talked a lot in ...
  • How do you Manage a Company when the Stock is Considerably Overvalued?
    ========================================== I’ve thought about this problem before, but always thought it was more of a curiosity until I read this on page 66 of Jeff ...
  • The Band Travels Up
    ====================================== Three months ago, I bumped against my upper cash limit.  After that, I put an additional 6% of funds into the market.  Now cash ...
  • “Do Half” Applied
    ================================== Four major stock indexes, the DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000 all closes at records on the same day.  From that same article, Ryan Detrick, senior ...
  • Trump, OPEC & Game Theory
    “It’s not whether you win or lose, but whether you win!”. Source: RedditNobody has any real idea what President-elect Donald Trump has planned.It is ...
  • China: Trump’s First Crisis?
    Here’s MaoThere is a growing possibility that China will be at the epicentre of President-elect Trump’s first crisis, triggered by concerns over ...
  • Trump & the morning after the night before
    Is this his final form?Despite thinking a Trump victory was far more likely than the market was pricing I, like most, didn’t feel ...
  • FT: Egypt devalues — now the hard work starts
    Emad writes about the Egyptian Pound devaluation for the Financial Times’ Beyond Brics blog.Egypt devalues — now the hard work startsAfter struggling with a lack of dollars in its ...
  • How to fix the oil Market
    Out of the coldBelow is an op-ed posted to Reuters outlining a plan to rebalance the oil market in a more effective manner ...
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  • The Cultural Complex
    I have a Jungian based book in my library called The Cultural Complex compiled by Thomas Singer and Sam Kimbles. I was delighted to hear that Tom ...
  • Preparing for launch
    First to get the trades out of the way selling 100 SPY at the open to lighten up my broad market exposure. I still hate ...
  • Feeling Disloyal
    I am feeling terrible that I am not posting on this site, like I would like. I am however tweeting a lot these days and ...
  • New Year New Trade
    It has been some time since we have done anything to the portfolio. We will buy 75 SPY @ the market open on 21 Jan. ...
  • Summary of 2015 Capital Markets
    This table has all you need to know to have a handle on what happened last year.
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  • Daily Note – A Hopeful Diagnosis?
    Summary Systemic Financial Risk Brewing? Don’t expect banks to run out of money! Market’s overly pessimistic on growth? United States: Housing Data holding up Good ...
  • Daily Note – The man without a plan?
    Summary ECB has no plan and looking to surprise! Winging it with monetary policy! Municipal bond buying is still on the table Complexity in a ...
  • Daily Note – Mario’s Christmas gift?
    Summary Global market round-up ECB opens the door to easing in December What exactly will the ECB do? Good morning, Global equities rallied and EURUSD ...
  • Daily Note – Forget 1987, think 2011!
    Summary Beware historical analogies! A mood of sobriety & the covet of safety A Corporate profit recession Good morning, The market crash worth thinking about ...
  • Daily Note – Fed fears
    Summary Corporate finance views US rate rises – someone has to be wrong! United States: Retail Sales hit by weather China: Economy being pumped with ...
  • Learning from the Hiccups of Holiday 2015
    From TheRobinReport.com --- The 2015 holiday season was all over the map, but at the end of the day, they spent well, to the tune of ...
  • Where is Retail Headed?
    From TheRobinReport.com --- Walmart is buying Jet.com. “Forbes” tells us that shopping malls are being killed by online shopping and Nordstrom’s CFO says it’s only going ...
  • Luxury Marketing’s Higher Calling
    From TheRobinReport.com --- From the 4Ps to the 4Es In 2013 the American  Marketing Association  changed the definition of  marketing. It went from the old 4Ps ...
  • Digitally Native Vertical Brands & Guideshops
    From TheRobinReport.com --- A Conversation with Andy Dunn, CEO and Founder, Bonobos Any discussion of the future of retailing would be incomplete without Bonobos, the visionary ...
  • Coach, Kors & Kate: The Handbag Wars
    From TheRobinReport.com --- The North American handbag market, which achieved mid-to-high single-digit growth through most of this millennium, saw its 2015 rate cut by more than ...
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  • This Is Not Bearish
    The S&P 500 just made an all-time high for the 11th time this year, and the 1134th time since 1928. Today, the Dow Jones Industrial ...
  • When History Suddenly Becomes Irrelevant
    “The fact that something so unthinkable could occur has had a lasting impact on my view of life and on investing in particular” – Peter ...
  • Making Sense When There is No Sense to be Made
    Our brains were built to save us from ourselves. We misremember the past and pretend we can predict the future. We’re able to make sense ...
  • My Portfolio
    I tweeted this last night as stock market futures were down around 5%. I'm buying U.S. stocks tomorrow. Don't care if I'm early, I've got ...
  • What Is Democracy?
    Will Durant answered this question so eloquently in The Lessons of History- I thought tonight would be an appropriate time to review the words he ...

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