Financial News Aggregator and a little more!

  • The Relentless Now
    In philosophy, presentism is the idea only the present exists. More loosely, it refers to a narrow focus on the conditions of the moment. Philosophy ...
  • Horrid Facts, Stubborn Facts
    September 11. Two words. Sixteen years. Powerful emotions. Searing memories. Evocative stories. Sixteen years ago, on Tuesday, September 11, 2001, I was sitting in front ...
  • “Hooray for Our Side”
    Last night I went to a concert by Stephen Stills and Judy Collins, one-time lovers and long-time friends, but never before collaborators (except for Stills’ ...
  • The Missing Ingredients
    Within the art of storytelling, how important characters meet is often significant and portentous, laying the groundwork for and foreshadowing what is to come. For ...
  • “It’s not you. It’s me.”
    It is a classic break-up excuse – “It’s not you, it’s me.” These five small words reek of phony compassion and are usually used to ...
  • Financial ETFs Are Struggling To Regain Momentum
    Financial stocks received a much-needed boost in the immediate aftermath of the 2016 presidential election. Now, almost a year later, these stocks are struggling to ...
  • 3 Value ETFs For Factor Purists
    Classifying stocks as either growth or value is one of the oldest and most studied fundamental investment pillars.  This process traditionally involves the analysis of ...
  • Stock Market Shortcuts & Hacks
    Most people are hardwired to look for shortcuts.  The fastest way home from work.  The most efficient way to mow the lawn.  The chance to ...
  • Meet The 3 Biggest ETFs of ETFs
    The “fund of funds” style is a portfolio tactic that has been used successfully for many large investment companies. Think about those target-date or target-risk ...
  • A Guide To Finding the Right Mid-Cap ETF
    Most ETF portfolios I look through are heavily weighted towards large-cap stocks as the fundamental building blocks of an equity allocation.  Those who might have ...
  • QT1 Will Lead to QE4
    This post QT1 Will Lead to QE4 appeared first on Daily Reckoning. Jim Rickards shows us why quantitative tightening could lead right ...
  • “Experts” Completely Misread Fed Announcement
    This post “Experts” Completely Misread Fed Announcement appeared first on Daily Reckoning. What yesterday’s Fed announcement really means for interest rates, despite ...
  • Are You Ready for Dow 1,000,000?
    This post Are You Ready for Dow 1,000,000? appeared first on Daily Reckoning. A stray comment made by Warren Buffett this week ...
  • A Force Greater Than the Fed
    This post A Force Greater Than the Fed appeared first on Daily Reckoning. Stocks are at record highs because the economy is ...
  • Trump’s Now ‘Blowing Kisses to Janet Yellen’
    This post Trump’s Now ‘Blowing Kisses to Janet Yellen’ appeared first on Daily Reckoning. Donald Trump's economy faces a great threat under ...
  • Looking to the West
    Looking to the West Good Morning, It’s been an eventful week across the Atlantic following Trump’s decision to pull one out of the Nixonian playbook ...
  • Weekly Note – May steps into the unknown
    May steps into the unknown Good Morning, When it comes to negotiating the UK’s departure from the EU, the current size of the government’s majority ...
  • Daily Note – A Hopeful Diagnosis?
    Summary Systemic Financial Risk Brewing? Don’t expect banks to run out of money! Market’s overly pessimistic on growth? United States: Housing Data holding up Good ...
  • Daily Note – The man without a plan?
    Summary ECB has no plan and looking to surprise! Winging it with monetary policy! Municipal bond buying is still on the table Complexity in a ...
  • Daily Note – Mario’s Christmas gift?
    Summary Global market round-up ECB opens the door to easing in December What exactly will the ECB do? Good morning, Global equities rallied and EURUSD ...
  • My Career on the Line
    Throughout my hedge fund career I have been willing to make bold moves. More than 2yrs ago I setup the Sefirot Freestyle strategy to outperform ...
  • This Time is Like No Other
    I know I am in the minority when I say that the world finances are on the brink of a major sea change. Of course ...
  • Shorting Junk
    Its time to say goodbye to this crazy rally in junk with people completely ignoring risk in favour of yield. It will comeback to bite. ...
  • One more Trumpet
    I think it is highly probable we will get one more rally before the markets take a serious breather. I am flat the market with ...
  • Last Day of the Year
    It has been a very quiet year for me on the Sefirot front. I have to admit almost all my energy has been channelled towards ...
  • FOMC's cautious and correct plan to unwind QE
    The bond market was little rattled yesterday after the FOMC announced that, despite the trauma of two major hurricanes, despite the absence of news suggesting ...
  • Big Picture charts
    UPDATED: The last two charts now reflect recently-released data as of Q2/17, which showed continued strong gains in every measure of households' balance sheets. Net ...
  • A better PE ratio
    This post is an update to a 4-yr old post titled "Equity valuation exercises." Back then I observed that stocks were fairly valued according ...
  • 12 charts to watch
    North Korea remains the biggest threat to world peace, but markets remain nonplussed. Gold prices have inched higher, but are nowhere ...
  • Something to worry about
    Back in early 2014 I argued that the return of confidence was something to worry about, since that would mean reduced demand for money, and ...
  • Debt: 10 Questions to Ask
    GOT DEBT? To get a handle on the situation and figure out whether you’re handling your loans and credit cards properly, here are 10 questions ...
  • Excuses, Excuses
    WE MAKE ALL KINDS of financial mistakes: spend too much, borrow too much, buy expensive investment products, try to beat the market. To be sure, ...
  • Moving On
    WHEN TALKING WITH HOME SELLERS, I’ve long ceased being surprised by how many routinely overlook or fail to take maximum advantage of a valuable tax ...
  • A Price on Your Head
    WE ARE WORTH SO MUCH MORE than the value of our homes and our financial accounts. But how much more? Forget your car and household ...
  • Growing Up (Part V)
    ONE OF MY FAVORITE ACTIVITIES as a child was to play with a tomahawk at my grandparents’ house. Yes, that was in the days before ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Sep 17, 2017
    A sharp rally Monday was followed by 4 relatively quiet days as gains were efficiently consolidated. After a brief respite, bears are back ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Sep 10, 2017
    The holiday shortened week started with a bout of moderate selling but things were largely quiet in the indexes after that. The debt ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Sep 3, 2017
    It was a week of "fixing things" technically. Tuesday some geopolitical tension surfaced after North Korea launched a missile over Japan and indexes ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Aug 27, 2017
    It was a quiet week aside from Tuesday which saw a nearly 1% jump in the S&P 500 - but not necessarily a win for ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Aug 20, 2017
    The story of 2017 has been "lack of volatility". There is finally some volatility entering the market, which is nice for those out there ...
  • NAAIM buy signal update
    I had highlighted an unusual contrarian buy signal in my last post (see Round number-itis at 2500). NAAIM sentiment, which is reported weekly, turned ...
  • Round number-itis at 2500
    Mid-week market update: I normally write my mid-week market update on Wednesday, but the market action on FOMC decision days tend to be wildcards and ...
  • A secular bottom for inflation?
    Preface: Explaining our market timing modelsWe maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term ...
  • Things you don't see at market bottoms, Paris Hilton edition
    It is said that while bottoms are events, but tops are processes. Translated, markets bottom out when panic sets in, and therefore they can be ...
  • A "good overbought" advance, or an imminent pullback?
    Mid-week market update: A number of major averages hit fresh all-time highs this week. For traders and investors, the question is whether the market is ...
  • FOMC's cautious and correct plan to unwind QE
    The bond market was little rattled yesterday after the FOMC announced that, despite the trauma of two major hurricanes, despite the absence of news suggesting ...
  • Big Picture charts
    UPDATED: The last two charts now reflect recently-released data as of Q2/17, which showed continued strong gains in every measure of households' balance sheets. Net ...
  • A better PE ratio
    This post is an update to a 4-yr old post titled "Equity valuation exercises." Back then I observed that stocks were fairly valued according ...
  • 12 charts to watch
    North Korea remains the biggest threat to world peace, but markets remain nonplussed. Gold prices have inched higher, but are nowhere ...
  • Something to worry about
    Back in early 2014 I argued that the return of confidence was something to worry about, since that would mean reduced demand for money, and ...
  • FOMC's cautious and correct plan to unwind QE
    The bond market was little rattled yesterday after the FOMC announced that, despite the trauma of two major hurricanes, despite the absence of news suggesting ...
  • Big Picture charts
    UPDATED: The last two charts now reflect recently-released data as of Q2/17, which showed continued strong gains in every measure of households' balance sheets. Net ...
  • A better PE ratio
    This post is an update to a 4-yr old post titled "Equity valuation exercises." Back then I observed that stocks were fairly valued according ...
  • 12 charts to watch
    North Korea remains the biggest threat to world peace, but markets remain nonplussed. Gold prices have inched higher, but are nowhere ...
  • Something to worry about
    Back in early 2014 I argued that the return of confidence was something to worry about, since that would mean reduced demand for money, and ...
  • Fed Balance Sheet Normalization: Signed, Sealed, Delevered
    Going into today’s important Federal Reserve meeting (with a press conference and an update to the economic projections, aka the “dot plot,” along with the ...
  • Global Vision Enhances Equity Insight
    Investors all over the world often prefer to stay in their home markets. But at what cost? Going global can open up a world of ...
  • The Fed’s Balancing (Sheet) Act
    The Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting played out largely as expected, as US monetary policymakers left the central bank’s benchmark short-term interest rate unchanged. The ...
  • The Coming Bear Market?
    The US stock market today looks a lot like it did at the peak before all 13 previous price collapses. That doesn't mean that ...
  • High Yield Market Update
    The U.S. high yield bond market has grown substantially to around $1.3 trillion today. At the same time, the global high yield market has become ...
  • Morning News: September 21, 2017
    S&P Cuts China’s Credit Rating, Citing Risk From Debt Growth U.S. Fed Holds Fire On Rate Hike But ‘60% Expectation’ For December Yellen Brushes Aside ...
  • The Fed’s Policy Statement
    Hot off the presses: While the FOMC decided against raising rates this time, they seem on course for a December rate hike. I think that ...
  • Morning News: September 20, 2017
    Fed to Pack Up Crisis Tool, Debate Next Hike: Decision-Day Guide Bitcoin Price Hits $4,000 Even as Ray Dalio Calls it a ‘Bubble’ Equifax May ...
  • Microsoft Raises Dividend by 7.6%
    Microsoft (MSFT) just announced a 7.6% increase to their quarterly dividend. The payout will rise from 39 to 42 cents per share. The dividend is ...
  • Morning News: September 19, 2017
    Mexico Readies Bill to Regulate Fast-Growing Fintech Industry The World’s Biggest Wealth Fund Hits $1 Trillion The IMF Needs to Stop Torturing Greece Bond Investors ...
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  • Labor Day: Project Repat
    Yesterday, in the process of cleaning out my closet and donating a bunch of old clothes, I did something I’ve wanted to do for a ...
  • Optimizing for energy
    In the world of startups and investing and ideas, things are always chaotic and fluid, and as such a key skill is to somehow cut ...
  • On the blockchain: platform first or app first?
    I was emailing with a friend recently, who asked: “On the web, in order to build a platform you first need a hit app. Do ...
  • Who should police content on the Internet?
    The beauty, and the danger, of the internet is that it’s open to everyone.  Anyone can put up a website, about pretty much anything.  This ...
  • Learning by doing
    I had lunch yesterday with someone who has been investing in the crypto / token space recently — having pooled together a small “fund” from ...
  • Who Owns the Market Data?
      At last week’s STA Market Structure Conference, the topic of market data costs was brought up repeatedly.  Even though most folks at the conference ...
  • Never Forget (Brotherhood)
    It is sixteen years later and we still remember. We will Never Forget. While we remember our friends and relatives who perished that day, and ...
  • Order Routing and Best Execution
      Yesterday, the House Financial Services Committee held a hearing titled “Oversight of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority” where the only witness was FINRA's President/CEO Robert ...
  • Robin Hood – The Legend of Internalization – Part II
      It's been a while since we wrote about the brokerage firm Robinhood so we wanted to check back in to see how they have been ...
  • Immunity Now!
    As you all know, stock exchange business models have morphed radically in the last decade. Large portions of their business are bed-rocked in the selling ...
  • September 20, 2017
    The Fed came out today and did nothing about interest rates, leaving them unchanged. What was different about today’s policy announcement was their reiteration that ...
  • September 17, 2017
    The indexes keep stepping higher as they march to the tune of the QE band currently comprised of the Fed, the European Central Bank, the ...
  • September 13, 2017
    On Sunday afternoon, the futures opened to the upside and continued rallying into the evening right into Monday morning. What made it interesting to watch ...
  • September 10, 2017
    Friday’s action had an odd odor to it, as the NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ Composite Indexes were both hit with selling on lighter volume. The ...
  • September 6, 2017
    Another NoKo surprise hit the markets yesterday after the rogue dictatorship went and tested an alleged hydrogen bomb, sending futures down slightly over the long ...
  • Revised RSS Link
    All, I renamed the blog URL. Please please kindly update your RSS feed with the address below:https://growresearch.com/blogs/blog.atom -Gogi
  • Announcement
    source: shutterstock.com Dear readers, It’s been 2 years since I started this little blog. This site has been a great way to journal my investment philosophy and present some ...
  • Asset Allocation Part 1: The Basics
    Source: Randy Glasbergen, www.glasbergen.com As investors, we want to reap the power of compound interest over the long-run. That is how we build real wealth. But what should we ...
  • Scenarios for Momentum Investing
    source: babaimage In the previous post, we reviewed momentum’s robustness and saw how it stood the test of time. We also stress-tested the Global Equities Momentum (GEM) ...
  • Testing Momentum’s Robustness
    Happy new year! I have noticed that my quantitative posts get the most readership and discussion. So this year, I’ll be posting a lot more research ...
  • Links for 09-20-17
    The great unwind begins - Jim Hamilton Colleges as class reproduction machines - Brookings How Food Spending Varies with Income - Jayson Lusk The harm ...
  • FOMC statement
    No change in the target range for the federal funds rate, balance sheet unwinding to begin in October: Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement: Information received ...
  • Pessimism and the ZLB
  • Links for 09-19-17
    Is Larry Summers a Fan of Nominal GDP Level Targeting? - David Beckworth The Global Cost of the Eurozone’s 2012 Fiscal Coordination Failure - Brad ...
  • Fed Would Surprise Markets If It Stays Hawkish
    Tim Duy: Fed Would Surprise Markets If It Stays Hawkish, by Tim Duy: The Federal Reserve meeting this week will likely end with unchanged policy ...
  • Book Review: Economics for Independent Thinkers
    Economics for Independent Thinkers is useful to practitioners who make economic forecasts. Investment strategist Daniel Nevins, CFA, recounts becoming a skeptic about the application of ...
  • Parallel Worlds and Brexit: Guiseppe Ballocchi, CFA
    "Parallel Worlds," one of the four potential scenarios envisioned in the "Future State of the Investment Profession" study, anticipates the rise of populism, a reduction ...
  • Planning for a Non-Retirement
    Much of financial planning focuses on retirement. But what if your client isn’t planning to retire? Barbara Stewart, CFA, explores the question.
  • Weekend Reads: Resilience
    Julia VanDeren has been thinking about resilience. Not just in the face of disaster, but in careers as well. In this edition of Weekend Reads, ...
  • Book Review: Empire of the Fund
    William Birdthistle provides a witty description of mutual fund design and categorizes its imperfections entertainingly, offering more palatable alternatives. This slender volume is a welcome ...
  • Staying with the US Digital Service
    A few months ago, I took a leave of absence from Google to do a stint with the US Digital Service. A lot of people ...
  • A brief update
    Over the last couple years, I’ve seen more and more people in technology trying to make government work better. They’re idealists who are also making ...
  • Thanks, Amit
    Amit Singhal just announced that he’s retiring toward the end of the month. Amit has been a formative part of Google’s search team, but he’s ...
  • Solving a Verizon issue (Nexus 5X)
    I solved a problem today and figured that I’d document it for the rest of the world. Every time someone left me a voicemail on ...
  • Halloween 2015: USB Drive
    I went a little overboard for Halloween last year. And as you can tell from my the Halloween category on my blog, sometimes I get ...
  • Familiar Hard vs. Unfamiliar Hard
    This weekend my wife ran the Run Rabbit Run 50 mile race in Steamboat Springs. It was her first race at such distance, and when ...
  • Shame, Status and the American Dream
    Something has been rolling around in my head for a while, and it’s about our house, our lifestyle and our appearance among peers. Our home ...
  • 2Q 2017 Market Overview
    Market Overview It has been another solid, steady quarter in the markets since the end of March. US stocks both large and small posted strong ...
  • The IPO 10-Bagger Chase
    It’s been 20 years since Amazon went public at $18 per share in 1997. The web today is littered with stories about how a small ...
  • Feature in Financial Advisor Magazine
    I was pleasantly surprised to learn that I was nominated for Financial Advisor magazine’s “10 Young Advisors to Watch” piece in the May issue. I’m not ...
  • EDICON: Views from the Exhibits
    The second EDICON USA took place in Boston from September 11 to 13. Here is some of what EE Times saw on the exhibit floor.
  • DeepScale on Robo-Car: Fuse Raw Data
    DeepScale has developed a perception system for ADAS/autonomous vehicles. It offers pre-trained AI algorithms, based on raw data, not object list, coming from multiple sensory ...
  • Nest Targets Home Security Market
    Nest unveiled the next phase of its strategy to enable the connected home, rolling out a suite of products for the retail home security market.
  • Toshiba Agrees to Sell Chip Unit to Bain-led Group
    Latest twist in months-long saga has Toshiba agreeing to sell for $18 billion to group that includes Apple, Dell and sk Hynix, leaving Western Digital ...
  • DDR5 Runs in Rambus' Labs
    Rambus has working chips in the lab for DDR5, the next-generation DRAM bus while the industry debates the road ahead for memory in servers.
  • Yet Again?
    This week’s Outside the Box is from one of my favorite writers and analysts. Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital is simply an investing legend. He ...
  • Pension Storm Warning
    This time is different are the four most dangerous words any economist or money manager can utter. We learn new things and invent new technologies. ...
  • On Swamp Draining in Texas, Florida … and DC
    For this week’s Outside the Box we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the ...
  • The Future of the Global Economy
    If you establish a democracy, you must in due time reap the fruits of a democracy. You will in due season have great impatience of ...
  • Irving Fisher and Japan
    Outside the Box, for a number of new readers who have joined us, is a letter in which I feature someone else's work each week, ...
  • behind the numbers
    Assessing the people in an investment firm is key to understanding its capabilities. But can we get more than a superficial look at the ...
  • maps of the world
    Investment organizations are facing a quickening pace of change, but using old constructs to analyze the environment and to make strategic decisions. New perspectives ...
  • into the workshop
    Getting away from the normal routine is critical if you are to think about the challenges of the future. Four days with interesting investment ...
  • precision farming
    There has been a restoration of faith in risk management and the modeling of market behavior since the financial crisis. Will those methods serve ...
  • surprisingly popular
    For the first four years of this century, I taught at the University of Minnesota’s Carlson School of Management.  The classes were made up of ...
  • Miners Look Ready to Strengthen
  • Looking Closely at Amazon
    This content is only available to Slope+ users.
  • Apple’s Poo Hits the Fan
    I’m not going to mince words: I think the features Apple is cramming into the newest iPhone has reached retard level. Being able to talk ...
  • The Buffoon Indicator
    A couple of weeks ago, in a rare moment of self-awareness, I wrote a post called Bullion Buffoon, in which I mentioned my nearly Gartman-like ...
  • Nine Years Past
    I remember it like it was yesterday. But it was yesterday……..plus nine years. That is, September 19, 2008. I was at Prophet’s office, and the ...
  • Company Notes Digest 9.14.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 9.8.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 8.18.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 8.11.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 8.4.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Tony Robbins interviews billionaire Ray Dalio
    [youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uN7MNHoE6bM]Link to video..........Related book: Principles: Life and Work[H/T Alex]
  • Links
    Ray Dalio on Charlie Rose discussing his book, Principles: Life and Work (video) (LINK)Ray Dalio on CNBC (Video 1 [Bridgewater],
  • Links
    "I call this life a happy one in which I do one good deed after another, with no intervals between them." -Marcus Aurelius
  • Links
    "The virtue of a person is measured not by his outstanding efforts, but by his everyday behavior." -Blaise PascalPrivate-Equity for Cheapskates Like ...
  • Warren Buffett on not getting in your own way...
    From July 1998 (via Tap Dancing to Work):"So why do smart people do things that interfere with getting the output they’re ...
  • These Are the Goods
    Articles If there’s a golden rule for long-term investing, it’s that betting on disaster is always overpriced, and betting on “it’ll all work itself out” ...
  • All or Nothing Analysis
    Yesterday I received an email that read, “If you are looking for alternative sources of stable income with a demonstrated ability to make money in ...
  • A Few Charts and a Few Thoughts at All-Time Highs
    This morning, the S&P 500 is making its 31st all-time high this year. That’s one every 5.6 days, on average. The index is up 11.1% ...
  • These Are the Goods
    Articles  Facebook, in fact, is the biggest surveillance-based enterprise in the history of mankind. By John Lanchester Everyone is exposed to the same fundamental information ...
  • These Are the Goods
    Articles Now, he is starting a hedge fund dedicated to wagering against the VIX. Investors, he says, have been pounding on his door to get ...
  • All You Need To Know About The Fed In Just 2 Charts
    The Fed was created in 1913 in response to the Panic of 1907. Its original mandate was to promote the sort of financial stability that ...
  • Gold Gets Spooked Again
    Gold has sold off for the past week or so in anticipation of this week’s Fed meeting. This is not a new phenomenon. Gold has ...
  • Planting Some Seeds
    I’ve got a few updates on some of trade ideas. First, CF Industries had a strong move higher today. I couldn’t really find any news ...
  • A Reckoning Is Coming For The FANGs
    This market comment is part two of I don’t know how many starting with FANG And The Illusion Of Infallibility. The big news in the ...
  • AOBC Smoked
    I sold my AOBC position this morning at a loss of about $4. The earnings report last week was disappointing but probably not so bad ...

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