Financial News Aggregator and a little more!

  • Looking to the West
    Looking to the West Good Morning, It’s been an eventful week across the Atlantic following Trump’s decision to pull one out of the Nixonian playbook ...
  • Weekly Note – May steps into the unknown
    May steps into the unknown Good Morning, When it comes to negotiating the UK’s departure from the EU, the current size of the government’s majority ...
  • Daily Note – A Hopeful Diagnosis?
    Summary Systemic Financial Risk Brewing? Don’t expect banks to run out of money! Market’s overly pessimistic on growth? United States: Housing Data holding up Good ...
  • Daily Note – The man without a plan?
    Summary ECB has no plan and looking to surprise! Winging it with monetary policy! Municipal bond buying is still on the table Complexity in a ...
  • Daily Note – Mario’s Christmas gift?
    Summary Global market round-up ECB opens the door to easing in December What exactly will the ECB do? Good morning, Global equities rallied and EURUSD ...
  • Most overvalued EVER
    We are currently the most over valued the US stock markets have ever been according to methodology designed by John Hussman. I also found his ...
  • Embarrassing but …
    My last post on this site spoke of shorting the Crypto Bitcoin at around 7000, believing then like I do now that we are in ...
  • Bitcoin Short
    We are currently in a crypto currency mania bubble. I am a believer in Bitcoin and wrote a few years ago about my trade of ...
  • My Career on the Line
    Throughout my hedge fund career I have been willing to make bold moves. More than 2yrs ago I setup the Sefirot Freestyle strategy to outperform ...
  • This Time is Like No Other
    I know I am in the minority when I say that the world finances are on the brink of a major sea change. Of course ...
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  • Women in Bondland
    Finance is notorious for being a boys club. Marilyn Cohen has worked in the bond market for 30 years. She talks about what it takes ...
  • Stacey And Cardiff Take On The Commencement Speech
    Congrats, Class of 2018! Rather than listen to another meandering cliche-riddled commencement speech, let Stacey and Cardiff guide you through young-adult life with advice backed ...
  • Time Bandits
    Timekeeping software is becoming the standard across the U.S. And it turns out, it can be used to steal workers' wages, a few minutes at ...
  • Episode 842: Showdown at the WTO
    The World Trade Organization: Can't live with it, hard to crush your trade opponents without it.
  • SNAP Back To Reality
    Congress may soon expand work requirements for people who receive benefits under the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. But do these work requirements match the reality ...
  • Trek to Retirement
    IN LATE MARCH, I set out into the backcountry of central Oregon with eight other women, all on snowshoes or cross-country skis. We traversed more than ...
  • Slipping Away
    THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT recently issued its monthly inflation report. The resulting headlines could have put you to sleep: “Consumer Price Index Rises 0.2% in April.” It ...
  • Bad Idea for Rent
    IT RARELY HAPPENS these days, because I’ve been kicking around so long, but occasionally I’m taken aback by some completely nutty financial idea. This happened a ...
  • Winning the Game
    BY ALL ACCOUNTS, I’ve won the game. I know the income my family needs to live our desired lifestyle. I have an inflation-adjusted Navy pension ...
  • Age-Old Myths
    DESPITE RHETORIC to the contrary, Social Security isn’t going anywhere. Today’s workers will eventually collect benefits. Today’s seniors will continue to receive the benefits they’re entitled ...
  • Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes | 22 May 2018
    The Global Market Index (GMI) — an unmanaged, market-value weighted portfolio comprised of the major asset classes — is expected to earn an annualized 4.9% ...
  • Macro Briefing: 22 May 2018
    S. Korea’s president to meet Trump on Tues for N. Korea discussion: CNN US reinforces E. Asia’s missile defenses ahead of N. Korea summit: Reuters ...
  • All The Major Asset Classes Fell Last Week—Except Commodities
    Markets declined last week in nearly every corner of the major asset classes, with the lone exception of broadly defined commodities, based on a set ...
  • Macro Briefing: 21 May 2018
    Iran says EU support for nuclear deal is insufficient: Reuters Trump is having second thoughts about meeting with N. Korea’s leader: The Hill Trump demands ...
  • Book Bits | 19 May 2018
    ● The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect By Judea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie Summary via publisher (Basic Books) Correlation is not ...
  • Weekly Market Recap May 20, 2018
    This was a generally quiet week in the senior indexes, consolidating some of the prior week's move up. That said the Russell 2000 ...
  • Weekly Market Recap May 13, 2018
    The indexes were looking a bit rocky the past few weeks, with a consolidation at lower levels with no real attempt at an upthrust -- ...
  • Weekly Market Recap May 6, 2018
    The indexes continue to mark time range bound at lower levels (with moderately high volatility) which should be a concern for bulls until it changes. ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Apr 29, 2018
    The indexes swung back and forth between sleepy days Monday, Wednesday, and Friday to >1% swings on Tuesday and Thursday. Earnings and bonds ...
  • Weekly Market Recap Apr 22, 2018
    Strong start to the week; a weaker end - final tally was a modest move up. #TRADEWARS(tm) dived down this week as earnings ...
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  • The struggling Canadian canary
    Back in March, I wrote about the new Fragile Five, which were five highly leveraged developed market economies that were undergoing property booms. The five ...
  • Deconstructing the institutional pain trade
    Preface: Explaining our market timing modelsWe maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term ...
  • Market waves and ripples
    Mid-week market update: Charles Dow once characterized the stock market`s price movement as being composed of tides, waves, and ripples. We can see a mini ...
  • Tame inflation? Don't get complacent!
    The Treasury market rallied last week when the 10-year Treasury yield tested the 3% level and pulled back.
  • How I learned to stop worrying and love rising rates
    Preface: Explaining our market timing modelsWe maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term ...
  • Has The Bear Arrived?
    I initiated defensive action in client accounts today with a small purchase. You can read about the trade and my reasoning as to why I ...
  • Latest posts at TheMaven
    I’ve had a lot going on lately. I have resigned from AdvisorShares (I will have more on that soon) but have still been doing a ...
  • Final Random Thoughts
    I have resigned from AdvisorShares effective April 30th. This is my last regular blog post at Alpha Baskets, although I will be writing one more ...
  • Markets Don’t Close 4/20 On A High
    The weekly Market Update is posted at Alpha Baskets and includes the following; Barron’s devoted a lot of pixels to the latest goings on with ...
  • When Knowing What Will Happen Isn’t Enough
    My latest post at Alpha Baskets is up and includes the following; As I write this post on Monday afternoon Bitcoin is just under $6800. ...
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  • Oil and the Economy
    The rise in oil prices is expected to have mixed effects on the U.S. economy. Higher gasoline prices will restrain consumer spending growth to some ...
  • Imagining the Stock Market in Ten Years
    What will the next ten years look like in the U.S. stock market? As we often do, we refer you to one of our favorite ...
  • Global Economic Perspective: May
    In this month's Global Economic Perspective, our Fixed Income Group opines on rising energy prices, US Treasury yields, emerging-market currency pressures and global economic growth.
  • YCG Q1 2018 Quarterly Review
    In-depth write up of Moody's (MCO) highlighting how it fits into YCG's investment framework which focuses on identifying "great business" and "market-timing" mispricings.
  • Global Growth Themes and Forecasts
    Don't let increased volatility throw you off track. We believe key drivers of growth around the world remain in place. Although the pace of global ...
  • The Case for Two Airline Stocks
    There won’t be a newsletter this week, but I wanted to pass along this piece by Tony Daltorio from my syndication partners at Investor’s Alley. ...
  • NYSE Gets First Female President
    From Reuters: The New York Stock Exchange has appointed Chief Operating Officer Stacey Cunningham as its first female president, an NYSE spokeswoman told Reuters on ...
  • Morning News: May 22, 2018
    Europe’s Italian Problem Is Bigger Than Brexit U.S., China Agree on Outline to Settle ZTE Controversy China Makes Massive Cut to Car Tariffs After Truce ...
  • GE Will Merge Rail Division with Wabtec
    General Electric (GE) used to be the shining star of American business, but it’s fallen on hard times lately. The share price is about one-third ...
  • Morning News: May 21, 2018
    The Greek Master Plan for Growth Revolves Around Banks Oil Rises as U.S. Says Trade War With China is ‘On Hold’ Dollar May Drop 5% ...
  • Condemned to Repeat the Mistakes of the Past
    Here We Go Again…….. Financial bubbles are not accidents but rather inevitable outcomes of our asset-backed banking system. To illustrate: imagine a homeowner who owns ...
  • The Art of Contrary Thinking
     The above video is a decent book review of the book, The Art of Contrary Thinking found in this link: http://csinvesting.org/2017/12/01/the-art-of-contrary-thinking/ and http://csinvesting.org/2015/12/16/contrarian-investing-part-ii/ You are ...
  • Focus on Management Excellence; My Interview Did NOT Go Well!
     Identifying-Managers-with-Talent-and-Integrity-May-2017 Perhaps you should differentiate yourself by focusing on management’s character and skill.  However, you will need to focus and work hard to make ...
  • A BUFFETT Buffet
    A Complete Video Archive of Warren Buffett https://buffett.cnbc.com/warren-buffett-search-results/?query=inflation A Reader kindly shared this: Warren Buffett Letters from 1957 to 2017! Now you can do a ...
  • Decadent and Depraved
    ‘The Kentucky Derby Is Decadent and Depraved,’ by Hunter S. Thompson “Just pretend you’re visiting a huge outdoor loony bin,” I said. “If the inmates ...
  • just_work = true
    One of my former colleagues, Rob Marianski, and I used to have a running joke — we would be building and debugging something, and he’d ...
  • Focus
    Ryan Caldbeck is on fire on Twitter right now.  Ryan is the CEO of our portfolio company CircleUp, and he just joined Twitter for the ...
  • Finding your discomfort zone
    I have been down in DC the last few weeks, among other things, talking to lawmakers and regulators about cryptonetworks and cryptocurrencies.  As part of ...
  • Digital scarcity
    As readers of this blog can tell, I’ve been spending a lot of my time recently focused on cryptonetworks and blockchains, and in particular, working ...
  • Zombies eating kitties
    On Tuesday we announced our investment in Cryptokitties, and, as you might expect, received a combination of enthusiasm and skepticism in response.  Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies ...
  • Woody Allen debates Billy Graham where is Jordan Peterson?
    For the pointer I thank D. The post Woody Allen debates Billy Graham where is Jordan Peterson? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
  • Is Amharic the most Straussian language?
    Amharic is susceptible of ambiguity to a remarkable degree, and Amharas have a tradition of writing clever, short poems, with an overt meaning and a ...
  • Tuesday assorted links
    1. Kling on Jonathan Rauch and the age profile of happiness.  Barkley Rosser is more skeptical on Rauch. 2. Interview with Elena Ferrante. 3. Is ...
  • Music markets in everything
    “More than 3,000 people bought tickets to attend a concert featuring a hologram of Roy Orbison. Is this the future of rock?” And here is ...
  • Streetcars, Subways and Segregation
    In the NBER reporter, Allison Shertzer and Randall P. Walsh summarize some of the recent research on urban segregation. As a cause of early 20th ...
  • The Pips are Squeaking
    Photo Credit: sid================= This should be a short post.  I just want to note the degree of stress that many emerging market countries are under.  ...
  • Thoughts on Bank Debt
      I have long said that until an asset class goes through a “failure cycle,” risk-based pricing will be weak toward the assets in question.  ...
  • Why I Watch the Thirty
    ============= I like long bonds.  I am not saying that I like them as an investment.  I like them because they tell me about the ...
  • Notes on the Fed Announcements
    ========================== Listening to the Fed Chair’s press conference, there was one thing where I disagreed with what Powell was saying.  He said a few times ...
  • Just Don’t Invert the Yield Curve
    ================================ Jerome Powell is not an economist, and as such, has the potential to try to remake the way the Fed does monetary policy.  Rather ...
  • So long, farewell
    IT IS an enormous privilege, and responsibility, to write for The Economist and capture a small sliver of readers’ attention. All told, there have been ...
  • The flaws of finance
    BUSINESS school graduates do not all want to work in investment banking these days. The industry does not have the same kind of cachet it ...
  • Hope I save before I get old
    IF YOU reach the age of 65 in the OECD, you can expect to live for another 19 years or so (more if you ...
  • The best books on finance and economics
    THE late Hans Rosling is best known for his Ted talks (here is one on the wonders of the washing machine). Sadly he died last ...
  • Six precepts every investor should remember
    SIR ELTON JOHN has a three-year farewell tour planned. This columnist has only a few weeks to go, before heading off to a new Economist ...
  • Themis Trading Announces New Head of Sales
      Themis Trading is excited to welcome Tyler Platte as our new Head of Sales . Tyler has been a buyside trader nearly his entire career in ...
  • NYSE – The Great Fragmenter
      When we first heard the news of the recent collapse of the acquisition of the Chicago Stock Exchange by a Chinese-led investor group, we ...
  • The Return of Haim Bodek
      Do you remember Haim Bodek?  We first wrote about Haim back in October 2012 in a post titled "Who is Haim Bodek?".  Haim was the ...
  • NYSE Fined Again By The SEC
      NYSE was fined $14 million yesterday by the SEC for five serious violations.  This note will focus on the fifth violation since we think it ...
  • NASDAQ and IEX – Sue Everybody!
      What is one to do when their monopoly power and cash cows are threatened? Send in the lawyers, that’s what! We love this Jerky ...
  • May 21, 2018
    The following was written Sunday, May 20. Stocks give a good account of themselves overall as participants contend with a rising-rate environment. Leadership has been ...
  • May 20, 2018
    The market spent the week consolidating the prior move off the early May lows. After a Monday gap-up attributable to a Presidential Tweet, the market ...
  • May 16, 2018
    The upside extension we were seeing in many leading stocks coming into the weekend finally ran into some logical selling yesterday. The catalyst for the ...
  • May 13, 2018
    Friday was an uneventful day for the indexes after they posted higher highs on Thursday. The NASDAQ Composite Index held in a tight range as ...
  • May 9, 2018
    The 50-day moving average has been the parallel bar around which the major indexes are spinning, but today we saw oil stocks help to power ...
  • Links
    Monopsony, Rigidity, and the Wage Puzzle (Wonkish) - Paul Krugman Does the New Keynesian Model Have a Uniqueness Problem? - NBER The Old Allure of ...
  • Links
    America’s Dismal Turning Point - Paul Krugman Don’t Fall for Employers’ Whining About a ‘Skills Gap’ - Bloomberg Trump lags behind his predecessors on economic ...
  • Links
    Economics trails the sciences in attracting a diverse student mix - Mary Daly Rethinking Stigler’s Theory of Regulation: Regulatory Capture or Deregulatory Capture? - ProMarket ...
  • Links
    What’s Good for Pharma Isn’t Good for America - Paul Krugman Cryptocurrencies’ challenge to central banks - VoxEU We can't ignore climate change - Pyndyck ...
  • Links
    The Death of Acceleration (Wonkish) - Paul Krugman Fiscal policy remains in the stone age - mainly macro It's a (low inflation) trap! - Antonio ...
  • Talking to Mr. Money Mustache about the US Digital Service
    Last week, I passed my one year anniversary as head of the US Digital Service (USDS). So when Mr. Money Mustache asked for an interview, ...
  • Staying with the US Digital Service
    A few months ago, I took a leave of absence from Google to do a stint with the US Digital Service. A lot of people ...
  • A brief update
    Over the last couple years, I’ve seen more and more people in technology trying to make government work better. They’re idealists who are also making ...
  • Thanks, Amit
    Amit Singhal just announced that he’s retiring toward the end of the month. Amit has been a formative part of Google’s search team, but he’s ...
  • Solving a Verizon issue (Nexus 5X)
    I solved a problem today and figured that I’d document it for the rest of the world. Every time someone left me a voicemail on ...
  • 2017 In Review
    (Since it’s the most pressing and biggest topic right now, I’m going to flip the script and start with updates on taxes and legislation out ...
  • Lower future returns: What’s an investor to do?
    Corey Hoffstein over at Newfound Research put up a great presentation on how investors should respond to lower expected returns in the future. First I’ll ...
  • Tiny Steps
    I have a bit of an obsession lately with the idea of incremental change and its cousin, compounding. It started about a year ago with ...
  • Insurance Premiums for a Nonexistent Death Benefit
    It’s late 2017, and we’ve been riding a pretty stellar bull market in (at least) US stocks for over 8 years. Markets are up, and ...
  • 19 Questions
    Jason Zweig recently wrote a piece titled “The 19 Questions to Ask Your Financial Advisor.”  I love Jason’s stuff and who doesn’t like lists?  So ...
  • Train Crash Preview
    Today we will summarize something I’ve been thinking about for a long time. Exactly how will we get from the credit crisis, which I think ...
  • Credit-Driven Train Crash, Part 1
    In last week’s letter, I mentioned an insightful comment my friend Peter Boockvar made at dinner in New York: “We now have credit cycles instead ...
  • Thoughts from the Mailbox
    Since last week’s letter, I have flown enough to send me over 100,000 miles on American Airlines this year and make Executive Platinum. That is ...
  • Economy with a Fever
    Getting a fever is no fun. You likely get chills, you sweat, and you’re just generally uncomfortable. You get tired easily and need to rest. ...
  • Us vs. Them
    This is the final Outside the Box. It is a little emotional to me, like parting with an old friend. How can one possibly sum ...
  • the culture factor
    How do you go about understanding the hidden but important aspects of an organization? Here's a simple place to start.
  • a cycle called yourself
    As a long trip together ends, it's time to get more personal and think about the lessons learned from the ups and downs along the ...
  • analysis itself
    Diagrams of investment process invariably illustrate the functional elements and steps of decision making. But what lies deeper within?
  • getting unstuck
    We've all been there. Frozen, unable to move forward, caught in an approach that just isn't working at all. It can happen to ...
  • gumption traps
    We are continually faced with problems, some caused by external forces and others by internal ones. Meeting them head on is a challenge (at ...
  • Close Enough
    I’ve been watching the gap in the long-term crude oil contract for a long time. The value is at $73.25. We got up to about ...
  • Knight Gallery
    This content is only available to Slope+ users. The post Knight Gallery appeared first on Slope of Hope.
  • Still Minding The Gap
    SPX is still testing the open island top gap from the March rally high, and that has been solid resistance so far. My lean is ...
  • The Old College Try
    Over the course of writing thousands and thousands of posts on this blog (personally, about 15,000, although Slope itself has well in excess of 20,000), ...
  • Change the Channel
    Thousands of points added to the Dow. LIFETIME highs on major indexes, such as the Russell 2000. Peace in North Korea. No trade wars. Infinite ...
  • The All-Inclusive Buffet
    By: Bill Kelly, CEO, CAIA Association We have all seen it. The Sunday brunch, the Caribbean vacation, or the cruise to nowhere or everywhere that touts ...
  • Private Debt and Impact Investors
    A new study by the Symbiotics and GIIN research teams looks at private debt impact funds (PDIFs); that is, “independent investment vehicles that allocate on ...
  • KPMG on Real Estate Funds
    The outsourcing of fund administration tasks in real estate is not a new idea. But, as KPMG says in a new paper, the marketplace has ...
  • Operating Expenses, Strategies, and Scale
    Meketa Investment Group has issued a paper on the state of hedge fund operating expenses, the point of which is to offer actual and potential ...
  • A Microfinance Fund for Central Java, Indonesia
    Blossom Finance, an investment consultancy that describes its business model as “commercial financing with social benefits,” announced recently open enrollment for an Islamic microfinance fund ...
  • Company Notes Digest 11.17.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 11.10.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 11.3.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 10.27.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Company Notes Digest 10.20.17
    Each week we read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of our investment process. Below is a weekly post which contains some ...
  • Seneca quote
    From "On the Happy Life":I shall make whatever befalls me become a good thing, but I prefer that what befalls ...
  • Links
    "There is no doubt that in exchanging a self-centered for a selfless life we gain enormously in self-esteem. The vanity of the selfless, ...
  • Links
    "Charlie and I don’t think about the market. And Ben [Graham] didn’t very much. I think he made a mistake to occasionally try ...
  • Links
    "Let everyone else call your idea crazy…just keep going.  Whatever comes, just don’t stop...I believe it’s the best advice – maybe the only advice ...
  • Links
    "Change for the sake of change, as we see in architecture, food, and lifestyle, is frequently the opposite of progress. As I have ...
  • The Worst Advice I Ever Got
    My first job out of college was working in a sales role at an insurance company. They liked to think they were doing holistic wealth ...
  • Animal Spirits- Wave Pools and Market Inefficiencies
    On today’s show, Ben and I speak about how career risk creates inefficiencies in the market, signs of froth, the Vanguard of alternatives, and ETF price ...
  • These Are the Goods
    Articles Saving is passive, prioritizing is active. By Mike Dariano The process for producing legal filings runs like an assembly line for making widgets. By ...
  • Chart Crimes
    Stretching a linear axis vertically to prove a point. Don’t do this. Some things should be shown as a level, not a percent change. The ...
  • These Are the Goods
    Articles An accelerating number of Americans are now recipients of independent advice and are talking to their friends about it By Shirl Penney  The look ...
  • ‘It’s Time To Call Bullshit’
    Bullshit Mark Baum: It’s time to call bullshit. Vinnie Daniel: Bullshit on what? Mark Baum: Every fucking thing. -The Big Short There may be no ...
  • An Old-Fashioned Income Play
    Earnings season is over so the blackout window has closed and insiders are once again allowed to trade. One company that has had some interesting ...
  • A Plethora Of Short-Term Sell Signals
    In addition to the daily DeMark Sequential sell signal triggered in SPY recently, we also now have sell signals triggered in all of the other ...
  • ‘No Skid Marks’
    Oh, The Irony! There’s a classic story on Wall Street that seems to repeat time and time again. It’s the story of a brilliant academician ...
  • A Recipe For Mean Reversion
    We now have a number of DeMark Sequential sell signals for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) lining up across almost every major time frame. The ...
  • Feel the Lift?
    The global expansion continues to gather steam and slowly, but surely, it is making its way through to supply and prices.
  • Dividend is Easy to Find. Yield is Not.
    An exhaustive search of “Dividend” funds leads to an interesting discovery and one that not every fund manager would want you to know.
  • Exclusive Q&A with Tom Clarke of William Blair – Part 1
    In this exclusive interview with Tom Clarke, partner and co-portfolio manager of the William Blair Macro Allocation Fund, we discuss a range of topics including ...
  • Riding Investment Waves For Risk Averse Investors
    Bill Hortz of the Institute for Innovation Development recently sat down with Dan Darchuck, Co-Founder and CEO of Topturn Capital, an independent financial advisory firm, ...
  • The Case for Global Multi-Assets
    Brian Singer, head of William Blair’s Dynamic Allocation Strategies team, discusses the case for global multi-assets in today’s environment, why the team’s approach to global ...
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