Financial News Aggregator and a little more!

  • A Warning From the Great Depression
    This post A Warning From the Great Depression appeared first on Daily Reckoning. Destroying food while millions starved, in the name of ...
  • Get Ready for World Money
    This post Get Ready for World Money appeared first on Daily Reckoning. Jim Rickards shows you why “world money” is coming… The post ...
  • The Great Dollar Shortage
    This post The Great Dollar Shortage appeared first on Daily Reckoning. “The crisis will also accelerate the collapse of the dollar as ...
  • The Only Way to Avoid Depression?
    This post The Only Way to Avoid Depression? appeared first on Daily Reckoning. In today's issue we discuss the topic: "The only ...
  • Rickards: It’ll Get Worse it Before It Gets Better
    This post Rickards: It’ll Get Worse it Before It Gets Better appeared first on Daily Reckoning. “It’s widely acknowledged that this pandemic ...
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  • Maybe it's not a pandemic after all
    For about 4 weeks, beginning in late February, stock markets around the world faced the growing realization that the virus that originated late last year ...
  • Chart updates
    Stocks made new lows today, but fear is receding. So far, my guess that last Thursday marked the worst of the crash seems to be ...
  • We've probably seen the worst
    My sense is that yesterday marked the extremes of panic, despair, capitulation, short-covering, and anguish.As emotions cool, even as covid-19 cases soar and ...
  • Recession + deflation = real panic
    What's worse: a steep recession or falling prices? Answer: A steep recession AND falling prices. That's is the underlying reality that is shaking markets to ...
  • Private sector and deregulation to the rescue
    Markets were very pleasantly surprised today when Trump unveiled a new public-private partnership designed to respond to the rapid and devastating spread of the coronavirus. ...
  • Work That Asset
    WHEN ASKED, most people say their most valuable financial asset is their home. But what gave them the financial wherewithal to buy that house, as ...
  • This Too Shall Pass
    ONE OF MY FATHER’S favorite sayings was, “This too shall pass.” Recent events have made me dwell on its meaning—and wonder where the phrase came ...
  • When You’re No. 2
    WE ALL KNOW financial literacy is important. But it’s especially important if you’re a woman. According to the Gates Foundation, “No matter where you are ...
  • School’s in Session
    ALTHOUGH THE 2020 market plunge isn’t even six weeks old, there are already lessons we can learn from this financial crisis that can help us ...
  • Unpleasant Surprise
    BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Chairman Warren Buffett, in his most recent annual report, described an event that occurred at a Berkshire subsidiary last year. Late one night, a ...
  • A new (FREE) tool to help you
    “The benchmark Dow Jones Industrial Average is off nearly 300 points as of midday today…” You can hear a similar quote on nearly every news ...
  • New podcast episodes
    Just in case you missed them, I dropped two new podcast episodes this week! The first, an introduction to the second season of the podcast, ...
  • Make your own disinfecting spray
    This might be a little off-topic, but I think it’s actually very on-topic. With most of my readers probably working from home due to the ...
  • What really moves markets?
    In the face of recent historic moves in stocks, crude oil, bonds, and many currencies, it is a good idea to step back and think ...
  • This is what manipulation looks like
    I’m always looking at new ways to look at market data, and specifically new ways to present the data visually. Much of this finds its ...
  • BBRG: Maybe Coronavirus Didn’t End the Bull Market
    Maybe Coronavirus Didn’t End the Bull Market Every rally or bust has large counter moves that may not be a real break from underlying trends. Bloomberg, ...
  • 10 Wednesday AM Reads
    My no patience for April Fool’s Day and the rent is due morning train WFH reads: • Wolf: The tragedy of two failing superpowers (Financial ...
  • Breaking Down the Stimulus Bill
    The Anatomy of the $2 Trillion COVID-19 Stimulus Bill Source: Visual Capitalist       Terrific breakdown of the $2 trillion stimulus plan signed into ...
  • Ask the Technicians: Is This A New Bull Market?
    A number of media outlets, including Barron’s, CNN, and Marketwatch, have suggested that the 20% move off of the lows qualifies as a new bull market. Does ...
  • 10 Tuesday AM Reads
    My Two-for-Tuesday morning train home reads: • This Is Not the Apocalypse You Were Looking For: Pop culture has been inundated with catastrophe porn for ...
  • For traders: 3 bullish, and 1 cautionary sign
    The following note is addressed to short-term traders with time horizons of a week or less. I would like to highlight some three bullish, and ...
  • The dawn of a new bull?
    Preface: Explaining our market timing modelsWe maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The "Ultimate Market Timing Model" is a long-term ...
  • Handicapping the odds of a V-shaped recovery
    Last week's stock market rally appears to be based on the hopes of a V-shaped economic recovery, powered by the combination of all-in monetary stimulus, ...
  • The makings of a primary low
    Mid-week market update: Did the Economist do it again with another contrarian magazine cover indicator? At the top of the market, their issue cover was ...
  • Where to hide in this bear market
    There is little doubt that we are in a recession induced bear market. Goldman Sachs published their GDP forecast late last week of a V-shaped ...
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  • The Uncertainty Channel of the Coronavirus
    The outbreak of the novel coronavirus, or COVID-19, has severely disrupted economic activity through various supply and demand channels. The pandemic can also have pervasive ...
  • Why Is Unemployment Currently So Low?
    Unemployment is at a 50-year low. The low rate is not from an unusually high job-finding rate out of unemployment but, rather, an unusually low ...
  • Is the Risk of the Lower Bound Reducing Inflation?
    U.S. inflation has remained below the Fed’s 2% goal for over 10 years, averaging about 1.5%. One contributing factor may be the impact from a ...
  • The New Stone Soup
    Countries around the globe face slow growth, low real interest rates, and persistently low inflation. This makes economies less resilient and less able to offset ...
  • Wringing the Overoptimism from FOMC Growth Forecasts
    Growth forecasts by Federal Open Market Committee meeting participants were persistently too optimistic for 2008 through 2016. The typical forecast started out high but was ...
  • The Asset of Time (Hacking)
    I can’t remember where I picked up what I’m about to share. Maybe it was something I heard or a study I read. The source ...
  • Hacking Happiness
    Who doesn't like being happy? Grumpy people that's who. I've been there. You have too, grumpy pants McGhee.& It's okay. We all get grumpy from ...
  • Investing In Yourself: Input/Output
    In investing (and life), pretty much every decision you make has a nuanced outcome. That is to say, there is very little black or white ...
  • Summer Daze
    It was a hot, humid east coast summer day. We were the kids of 1984. Back then the parents in our neighborhood had the same summertime rule. ...
  • The Heart: Lunch With Jim O’Shaugnessy
    When I first started writing here on I heart Wall Street, it was simply out of frustration. The title came to me serendipitously while talking ...
  • Maybe it's not a pandemic after all
    For about 4 weeks, beginning in late February, stock markets around the world faced the growing realization that the virus that originated late last year ...
  • Chart updates
    Stocks made new lows today, but fear is receding. So far, my guess that last Thursday marked the worst of the crash seems to be ...
  • We've probably seen the worst
    My sense is that yesterday marked the extremes of panic, despair, capitulation, short-covering, and anguish.As emotions cool, even as covid-19 cases soar and ...
  • Recession + deflation = real panic
    What's worse: a steep recession or falling prices? Answer: A steep recession AND falling prices. That's is the underlying reality that is shaking markets to ...
  • Private sector and deregulation to the rescue
    Markets were very pleasantly surprised today when Trump unveiled a new public-private partnership designed to respond to the rapid and devastating spread of the coronavirus. ...
  • Friday Conference Call
    Please join me this Friday at 2 pm ET for a conference call. National security expert John Schindler will be joining me to discuss the ...
  • “This Will Be a Painful Two Weeks”
    The stock market is down again this morning. Energy and Financials are down the most. President Trump warned that this will be a painful two ...
  • Morning News: April 1, 2020
    Oil Majors Slash 2020 Spending By 20% After Prices Slump Trump Warns of Pain Ahead While ‘Shocking’ Reality Sets In Supercharged Debt Bets Unravel and ...
  • The Market Continues to Calm Down
    I say this with some hesitation, but it looks as if the period of extreme volatility has passed. Over the last five days, the S&P ...
  • Morning News: March 31, 2020
    Nightmare Haunting Euro Founders May Be a Reality With Italy Oil Prices Are On Track for Their Worst Ever Quarter as Coronavirus Slashes Demand Huawei ...
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  • Unprecedented Times
    First of all, take a minute to congratulate yourself. If you stuck with your investment strategy (whatever the type) over the last two weeks, you ...
  • Sunday’s Thoughts
    A sunny Sunday afternoon here outside of Denver. Warm enough that the kids have spent the better part of the day on their new joint-early-birthday-present ...
  • So now it’s a bear market
    It’s Wednesday afternoon, March 11. Today the stock market (however you care to define that) fell about 5%. Small caps were down a bit more, ...
  • This part, it’s not so fun
    Quite a week we have on our hands here folks! It’s Friday morning, 8:30ish Mountain time as I write this and the S&P 500 is ...
  • 4Q 2019 Market Overview
    2019 was an absolute blowout year for the US stock market, period. Gains of nearly 30% in any market in a single year is about ...
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  • Postcards from the Frontline
    Unprecedented events are happening so fast, I barely know where to start. But let’s begin with a small one, noticeable perhaps only to me.
  • The Beacons Are Lit
    In the film version of Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings: Return of the King, there’s a three-minute scene you should watch or re-watch. It is ...
  • Coronavirus Is Not an Emergency. It’s a War.
    This is a short midweek note, something I haven’t done for years. But as we all know, these are very special and difficult times.
  • Coronavirus Helicopter Money
    I write this letter early Friday morning after a week in New York visiting with many fellow market participants. And lots of phone calls, both ...
  • Chinese Coronavirus Changeup
    In baseball, there is a kind of pitch called the “changeup,” designed to look like a fastball while actually going slower. The deceived batter swings ...
  • technical debt
    Every organization needs to improve its technological capabilities. Both insiders and outsiders should factor the shortfalls that exist into their assessments of future success.
  • narratives everywhere
    As investment professionals, we are faced with stories big and small. We should spend more time evaluating how we analyze and react to them.
  • the future of analysis
    The field of intelligence analysis can offer important analogies to those involved in investment decision making. The former, says one expert, "is at an ...
  • pay to play
    There are many behind-the-scenes agreements and relationships that affect the quality of information that we have about investments, potentially driving investor behavior in detrimental ways.
  • mind the gaps
    Long-term excellence in investment organizations comes from continuous improvement and the willingness to identify and remedy the shortfalls that exist.
  • Covid-19 Alpha
    Chris Holt, PhD, CAIA, Senior Advisor, CAIA Association and Associate Director, MBET Program at University of Waterloo During the Global Financial Crisis, the financial world ...
  • Using Alternative Data and Machine Learning in Alternative Asset Classes
    Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, FDP, Managing Director of Content Strategy, CAIA Association Michael Oliver Weinberg and Peter Strikwerda work at the Dutch pension fund ...
  • Wedding ESG with Modern Portfolio Theory
    Three executives at AQR Capital have proposed a new variant on modern portfolio theory, an elaboration of the classical idea of an efficient frontier. The ...
  • Long Alpha and Activist Strategies 
    By Aaron Filbeck, CAIA, CFA, CIPM Associate Director, Content Development at CAIA Association Excerpted from the Alternative Investment Analyst Review, Volume 8, Issue 2 The ...
  • THOU SHALL NOT SHORT THE VIX
    By Nicolas Rabener of FactorResearch (@FactorResearch) INTRODUCTION Scratching the surface of most people’s knowledge often does not reveal depth, but a lack thereof. When the ...

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